Bush approval history.
Obama approval history, not really a history....
Assuming the economy turns around Obama may keep his high numbers, but my guess is he like Bush will slide over the next 8 years.
My prediction is he will fall to 38% by the end of his term. This economy isn't going to help him.
Your thoughts?
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7 comments:
Methinks Bush's high approval ratings early were due to 9-11. And his low approval ratings were due to his own decisions (i.e. Katrina, Iraq, Gitmo.) Obama inherited a crap economy, so I don't know if most educated people can blame him for that.His approval rating is likely to stay well above GWB's.
Make a prediction... I agree with you that he's been handed a poop pie, but the question remains.... What will his rating be in 4 years?
Poop pie, that's excellent.
On November 3, 2012, I expect that his approval rating to be at or above 54%.
I have a question for my friends on this blog: The thing that I liked most about Obama as time wore on is his (and his organization's) general air of competence. Do you feel that way? Has that taken a hit recently for you?
One small thing and one very big thing that have affected me: 1. The Clinton "reset button" episode. Look, folks, it's not hard to get a Russian speaker on the phone. 2. Geithner has no Treasury deputies at the moment. This is a HUGE deal. For example, Gordon Brown's staff's complaints that "you can't get anyone on the phone at US Treasury" just hit the press. I don't think that's a good thing, ya know?
I think it may be blind arrogance. He's like the guy who went to Harvard... oh wait he did.... who is to afraid to ask a stupid question fo rhe might look stupid.
I am willing to chime in despite the fact that it is impossible to predict considering I supported Bush in 2000 thinking that the team around him was strong and I would trust them to make the right decisions. Obviously, I was completely wrong.
Without knowing what challenges, beyond the current obvious ones, he will have to face, I still believe he will respond in a fashion that maintains a >50% approval rating.
I agree with Jim assessment that some of luster has come off but this just proves that regardless of the individual career political staff can't be trusted to do things well. Unfortunately, one person can not oversee everything..
Obama does deserve credit for several things that won't be felt in the polls. Correcting the administrations stance on science and policy is very important to me (as Jim remembers and my post earlier this week tried to express). Admitting that he should not have nominated Daschle should told everyone that things will be different (Bush's only mistake, "trying to fix social security." That was the only thing he did that I supported in the last four years.
Overall, he has lost some fringe support mainly because you can't fix washington overnight and their has been no honeymoon in terms of bipartisanship.
It such a shame a Bristol and Levi isn't it?
http://freelevi.org/Real_Time_with_Bill_Maher.html
Its a shame to see a mother separate from her sperm donor. Am I the only one to think Bristol's kid is going to be much better off without this idiot in its life?
I am going to go out on a limb and say his approval rating in 2012 will be below 40%.
Why? I see the economy picking up steam next year (2010), then we get hit with a round of intense inflation in 2011 and beyond. Precisely the time when Obama is banking for a robust economy in order to pay for his agenda, but also get the deficit under control. Taxes will have to go up, the economy will again be weak at best and we will be paying $5/gallon for gas. Not a good recipe for being re-elected.
I will say I have been pleased with Obama's willingness to tackle multiple issues. I just hope some real change comes from it preferably for the better before the machine of Washington bogs down like usual.
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